Wade's Weekly Market Update

September 16, 2026


Good morning,


Investors await the decision on interest rates by the Federal Reserve at the conclusion of today's meeting. Expectations are for a quarter percent increase to the Fed Funds Rate – the first in three years – to tap the brakes on inflation. Real interest rates, however, have already made big moves. At the start of the Iran War in late February, the 10-Year Treasury yield hit a low of 3.93%. That yield has risen more than a full percentage point to 4.99% yesterday. Outside of a two-week stretch in late October 2023 when it ticked up to
5.02%, July 2007 was the last time the 10-year yield was this high. A combination of inflation and a ballooning Federal deficit have pushed borrowing costs to a near 20-year high.


The market snubbed AI stocks on Monday in reaction to the weekend's series of dire warnings about the destructive capacity of AI tools and calls from big-name AI CEOs to collectively slow the development of the transformational technology. Dario Amodei, CEO of Anthropic, sparked the latest panic and market pullback after publishing a lengthy blog post this weekend, calling on his industry to ease up on advancing powerful and
unproven models. It’s typical for influential industries to draw criticism of their corporate practices. But what makes this situation so unusual is that top officials are the ones calling for a slowdown and the scale of the momentum involved. Is this a case of the big players trying to slow the competition? Are they fearful for their own reputations should AI advances lead to negative outcomes? Or are they truly concerned about the
potential autonomous evils of AI?


Have you comparison shopped your homeowner’s insurance recently? The average single-family mortgage holder now pays a record $209 per month for home insurance, up nearly 80% since the start of 2020. Homeowners can cut that bill by switching carriers: those who switched in the last year saved 6.6% on premiums versus a 10.4% increase for those who stayed put. (Source: ICE Mortgage Monitor)


The Cincinnati Reds have resumed their rightful position in the basement of the NL Central Division and recently lost a game to Milwaukee 20 to zero. What can I say but - Go Bills!


Please visit our website at www.canfg.com to view past updates and information about Canandaigua Financial Group.


As always, if you would like to discuss this or anything regarding current market conditions or your portfolio, feel free to contact our office any time at 585-396-2720.


Have a great week,


Wade
Wade A. Sarkis, CFP®, AIF®
Partner Emeritus
Canandaigua Financial Group
45 Ontario Street
Canandaigua, NY 14424
(585) 396-2720

Advisory Services offered through Commonwealth Financial Network®, a Registered Investment Adviser.
Note: Trade orders cannot be accepted via email or voicemail.

Wendy M. Copella
Office Manager
Canandaigua Financial Group
45 Ontario Street
Canandaigua, NY 14424

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