Wade's Weekly Market Update

August 4, 2026

Good morning!

The weekend proved a good rest for investors as they have come out buying early this week. This is especially true in the tech sector as earnings are strong and the concerns about future capital expenditures have turned into understanding that the backlog for computing power means continues growth. President Trump’s announcement that he cancelled additional attacks on Iran also boosted sentiment and sent oil prices tumbling. But as we know, he can change his mind quickly. The rally doesn’t mean all tech stocks are a good value. And stocks don’t soar to the moon. Or do they?

Did you wish you bought shares in SpaceX the day it began trading? The Elon Musk company’s shares have fallen nearly 30% from their $150 market debut last month and remain roughly 50% below their record high of $225.64.1 The hype surrounding the SpaceX IPO was overblown with people clamoring to get their hands on some shares. Those shares are underwater, not soaring through the sky. SpaceX announces quarterly earnings later today, and it will be a loss, not a profit. They may be profitable one day, but long-term investors should always be wary of the next big thing.

The US government recently announced a large purchase of yen. The Japanese currency had plunged to a 40-year low against the US dollar2 due to the interest-rate gap between Japan and the U.S., energy costs, fiscal pressures, and investors favoring higher-yielding dollar assets.3 Industry veterans and analysts believed that U.S. officials were concerned that Japan, the largest foreign holder of U.S. Treasuries, might need to sell some of its Treasury holdings to support the yen, a move that could have affected Treasury markets and increased U.S. borrowing costs.So far it has been an effective, if unusual, currency intervention.

Please visit our website at www.canfg.com to view past updates and information about Canandaigua Financial Group.


As always, if you would like to discuss this or anything regarding current market conditions or your portfolio, feel free to contact our office any time at 585-396-2720.


Enjoy your week,


Wade

Wade A. Sarkis, CFP®, AIF®
Partner Emeritus
Canandaigua Financial Group
45 Ontario Street
Canandaigua, NY 14424
(585) 396-2720

Advisory Services offered through Commonwealth Financial Network®, a Registered Investment Adviser.
Note: Trade orders cannot be accepted via email or voicemail.

This market commentary is for informational purposes only and reflects the author's opinions as of the date of publication. It is not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investing involves risk, including the potential loss of principal.

Subramanian, P. (2026, July 31). SpaceX stock has rocky week ahead of earnings. AOL.Com. https://www.aol.com/articles/spacex-stock-rocky-week-ahead-134523000.html

Shan, L. Y. (2026, July). Japan spent $74 billion propping up the yen. Investors say the real battle is with the Fed. CNBC. https://www.cnbc.com/2026/07/01/japan-yen-40-year-low-intervention-fed-boj-carry-trade.html

Yerushalmy, J. (2026, August 3). Why has Trump stepped in to prop up Japan’s currency? The Guardian; The Guardian. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/aug/03/trump-japan-currency-yen-explainer

4 Shan, L. Y. (2026, August 3). Why the U.S. stepped in after decades to prop up Japan’s yen — and what’s at stake. CNBC. https://www.cnbc.com/2026/08/03/japan-yen-intervention-us-treasurys-euros-.html

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